The City Paper’s Clint Brewer has noticed much the same strategy at play in the mayoral race that I have when it comes to political polling:
Please also realize it has become a routine part of any major political contest for candidates to simply attack polling that doesn’t suit them or bolster their own efforts. On this blog several days ago, a Clement supporter was critical of our newspaper even covering a WSMV Channel 4 poll on the race that showed Dean in the lead. My offer to publish stories on the internal polling of the campaigns stands, but they have to release it first.
Is there a practical alternative to this? Since polling is an art, not a science (despite the use of the term “scientific” to describe polls that are more objectively constructed than most), it’s easier to debunk a survey than, say, arguing that the sky is purple rather than blue. Considering that an earlier WSMV-TV was widely criticized for not being a representative sample, perhaps not.
One of my coworkers, who has seen his fair share of political campaigns and then some, once told me about his efforts years ago helping a local candidate in West Tennessee. A survey commissioned by the candidate showed that he wasn’t fairing very well in terms of public opinion. The candidate’s response? “Those people in Trenton,” he said in angry disbelief. “They lie!” Maybe they did, but their ballots didn’t: The candidate ultimately lost.
I’m with Brewer that a story on internal polls would be welcome. Come on, shillers, release the hounds!!